Today’s Game is a 7:05 PM CST Start

Cleveland Indians 59-82 (L3) +200 @ Texas Rangers 83-57 (W1) –220 – Over/Under 9.5 Runs

Cle P Ubaldo Jimenez (9-15, 5.58 ERA) has lost his

last 4 decisions, but has kept the opposition to just 4 runs or less in his last 4 starts. He’s 1-1 lifetime vs the Rangers and all tings considered hasn’t allowed double digits in hits all year.

Tex P Matt Harrison (15-9, 3.37 ERA) has lost his last 2 starts allowing 10 runs in that time (3+7) with 4 romeruns.. He’s lifetime 5-4 vs the Indians

The Computer says the Rangers statistically have the edge. 

RANGERS 5 –  INDIANS 4

edge: Cleveland for +200

However, the Rangers are 11-2 since September 2010 after a regular season game where they were shutout.

The Indians are 0-10 -10 units since May 12, 2012 as a 140+ dog  after allowing 6+ runs in a night game.

Texas is 99.8% into the playoffs but that also means this month any game could be a “night off”.

Dogs are 1299-1691 (-0.5 rpg, +74.59 units) blind in the month before the playoffs (including the little bit of October).

Way too much value on Cleveland to pass this up with the Rangers having the night off for travel off of their last road trip.

The Play

No Play tonight  - Hate to go against the computer, but the value is clearly on the Indians. We hate losing money on “value plays” though, and we’ll stay away. Be weary of this one if you are on the Rangers.

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Vocabulary

“RPG” – Runs per game

“ROI” – Return on Investment – Given in Percentage

“RL” – Run Line – Winning by 2 runs or More – Getting a bigger return than just winning by 1 run or more.

“SU” – Straight Up Winner

“Total” – In an “Over/Under” or “Total” Bet – you pick whether or not the combined runs of BOTH teams are higher (Over) or lower (Under) than the line given.

“Unit” – Whatever given value one bets on

average on a game. Used to show profit and loss a the end of a season. (See ROI)

“The Computer” – A powerful tool used to predict outcomes to sporting events. .

“Public” – The “general” consensus of the common

folk who essentially dictate the price of the two teams once the odds are set. Note***The Pubic rarely wins.