Cowboys Preseason Game #2 Preview
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Saturday’s Pre-Season game @ the Chargers still sees a whole lot of starters out for the Cows, and a whole lot of Chargers vying for positions, while trying not to get hurt in the lengthy preseason.
Saturday’s Game is a 8:00 PM CST Start
Dallas Cowboys @ San Diego Chargers -3 O/U 37
Now in NFL Preseason week 2, you still choose to go lighter than a regular one unit play or pass completely. The main reason you might want to cool down on NFL Preseason is simply because it is hard to predict the coaches who will care about the preseason and who will not.
As for the game itself: A few things the computer noticed:
Chargers play well after a home game in preseason. They are 20-8 since 2002. Coach Norv has been there since 2007, so that also fits the coaching philosophy.
We like to take road teams for +3 to -3 facing teams with a winning record (in preseason) [70% proposition]. Playing both teams off of a win; take the dog for a field goal.
Fading (Betting against) a Favorite off of 1 or more wins over .500 in preseason is a 70% ATS bettiing opportunity.
Essentially the Game has a small but significant spread. Coach Norv Turner is always looking to proof himself. He is 3-2 in his last 5 weeks of Preseason week 2’s and 2-1 vs the preseason Cowboys.
Jason Garrett also has reasons he wants to beat the preseason. He’s 3-2 in his short tenure, and lost last years week 2, @ Cowboys stadium, 20-7. He’s always on the hot seat, and particularly after a 3 point performance last week, he’s looking for some points.
Lots of intangibles again. Arguably we may want to consider the 1H spread as we know that the top 2 QB’s will get the majority of the work. Looking at the game last week, Kyle Orton looked decent, as did McGee, but I don’t want to get into a situation as we did last week where Rudy Carpenter was depended on to score points. However, the later stages also answer questions like “Is my 3rd/4th stringer better than yours?
QB’s Tony Romo and Kyle Orton will get at least 1/2 of the snaps, With Stephen McGee and Rudy Carpenter likely getting the rest. In San Diego QB Phillip Rivers will start, but now #2 is Former Seahawk backup Charlie Whitehurst who was originally drafted by the Chargers, to come off of injury and get some snaps along with Jerrett Lee who went 15-22 for 235 yards last week with 1 TD.
0.5 Units -110 Cowboys +3
0.5 Units -110 Dallas/SD Over 37
“ATS” – “Against the Spread” – To win, the team that “covers” the spread is the team that beats the imaginary “head start” given to the stronger team.
Eg. The Cowboys are a 7 point favorite against the Redskins – If you bet the Cowboys, they must win by MORE than 7 points, if you bet the Redskins, they must Win outright, OR Lose by LESS than 7 points. If the Cowboys win by 7, all bets are returned, and is known as a “Push”
“Fading” = Betting against
“ROI” – Return on Investment – Given in Percentage
“SU” – Straight Up Winner
“Total” – In an “Over/Under” or “Total” Bet – you pick whether or not the combined score of BOTH teams are higher (Over) or lower (Under) than the line given.
“Unit” – Whatever given value one bets on average on a game. Used to show profit and loss a the end of a season. (See ROI)
“The Computer” – A powerful tool used to
predict outcomes to sporting events. .
“Public” – The “general” consensus of the common folk who essentially dictate the price of the two teams once the odds are set. Note***The Pubic rarely wins.
***If you’d like to get the full stats, on EVERY team in the league – as well as the Best bets of the night via email, sign up now to the Procomputergambler.com website and email newsletter for just $17.95 a month for viewers of Mikedyce.com(28% off) using this link.