Last Game:
The Computer nearly had a meltdown last night watching the Rangers implode in the middle innings. No matter what the stats and trends say, the Rangers REFUSE to play to the level they are supposed to be playing at. As
it turns out, now there is a race at hand in the AL West.
Today’s Game is a 7:05 PM CST Start
LA Angels 57-47 (W2) +155 @ Texas 58-41 (L2) -165 – Over/Under 10.5 Runs
LAA P Garrett Richards (3-2, 3.91 ERA) has mostly held his own all year, but has taken a lot of No Decisions. In his last 10 starts, he’s just 3-2 with 5 ND’s… Lately he’s given up 11 runs in just 16 innings pitched along with 5 Home Runs. In that stretch though he also pitched a 3 hit shutout vs the Tigers. He has no decisions in 2 starts vs the Rangers lifetime.
Tex P Yu Darvish (11-7, 4.05 ERA). Yu on the other hand has taken a decision in 18 of his 19 starts. Mostly saying he’s pitching marbles, or beach balls. Lately the beachy kind have disrupted an otherwise great start to a career, losing 3 of his 4 starts in July, allowing 17 runs in the 4 July starts. He does however in that time has 32 K’s, averaging over 7 per game this month despite the inconsistency.
Josh Hamilton Watch:
Where oh Where are you Josh Hamilton?
Well, he finally got a streak going, now batting .500 in the past 2 days (4-8) after taking nearly a 100 point plummet in the past month and a half. Josh has only had 2 multi-hit games in all of July,and we hope August will turn things around. Something about that change in the month that resets the brain sometimes.
Josh Hamilton Prediction Tonight: 1-3 with a walk and 2 RBI’s.
The Computer says Today is a Rangers and Under day
TEXAS 6 ANGELS 4
Trends:
*In August, home -150 to -200 division favorites (TEX) off of a loss (not series game 1) are 50-13 (+1.9 rpg, +28.1 units, +26% roi).
-LAA is 3-18 (-2.4 rpg, -13.5 units) since 2010 as a 130+ road dog off of a win.
-Texas is 120-78 +15.31 units since 2011 against right handed starters since 2011.
-Yu Darvish is 7-2 (+2.67 rpg, 77.8%) +3.45 units at home (career).
**Texas is 41-15 (+2.2 rpg, +17.42 units) since 2011 at home off of a loss.
A standard play on Texas looks decent tonight, but nothing on the total, as the less we can bet on the lack of Ranger predictability the better. Really, if we can’t win with Yu tonight, The Computer will probably blow some circuits and shut down the power to the building. I’m kidding. The computer lives in a house.
The Play
1 Unit Tex (-165) ($16.50 to return $26.50)
Vocabulary
“RPG” – Runs per game
“ROI” – Return on Investment – Given in Percentage
“RL” – Run Line – Winning by 2 runs or More – Getting a bigger return than just winning by 1 run or more.
“SU” – Straight Up Winner
“Total” – In an “Over/Under” or “Total” Bet – you pick whether or not the combined runs of BOTH teams are higher (Over) or lower (Under) than the line given.
“Unit” – Whatever given value one bets on average on a game. Used to show profit and loss a the end of a season. (See ROI)
“The Computer” – A powerful tool used to predict outcomes to sporting events. .
“Public” – The “general” consensus of the common folk who essentially dictate the price of the two teams once the odds are set. Note***The Pubic rarely wins.
***If you’d like to get the full stats, on EVERY team in the league – as well as the Best bets of the night via email, sign up now to the Procomputergambler.com website and email newsletter for just $17.95 a month for viewers of Mikedyce.com (28% off) using this link.



August 1st, 2012
Mike Dyce
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