July 29th, 2012 
Mike Dyce 
Last Night:
Unfortunately, the Rangers could not figure out a way to beat Sox P Humber, getting 4 hit at home. Stunning to see Matt Harrison losing 3 of 4, and allowing 2 Long balls in a poor 4th and 5th inning. OF Josh Hamilton (.157 in July) took the night off and we will wait and see how he performs Sunday night, and equally as important, how the DFW fans react.
From a betting perspective, we’re never happy to lose, but as mentioned, we either thought the Rangers would get to Humber and Harrison would pitch great – Or NOT!… the “Or NOT” obviously hit, but a small point in gambling – It’s always about how much you win, but sometimes how little you lose. In this case, we called the Rangers to win by 2 runs, and they never even came close, while we paid about $10 less to figure it out.
Today’s Game is a 6:05 PM CST Start
Chicago White Sox 55-45 (W5) +137 @ Texas 58-41 (L2) -147 – Over/Under 10 Runs
CWS P Gavin Floyd (8-8, 4.46 ERA) has won 4 of his last 5 starts giving up just 6 runs (4 in one game) and just 2 Homers in that time (Same game @ Yankee Stadium). He is a career 2-4 vs the Rangers, but has a great chance to pick up a win with the struggling Rangers.
Tex P Scott Feldman (4-6, 5.37 ERA) has won his last 3 decisions as a starter (Came out of the Pen in Extra Innings to get a win before the all star game) which is stark contrast to his first half of the season losing his first 6 of 7 starts of the season. In his last 4 stars, he’s also had 27 runs in support, which will be what the Rangers need to break out of this inconsistency currently daunting them.
The Computer says:
TEXAS 6.2 WHITE SOX 4.6
Here is a simple gem of a system we’d like to share:
In the second half of an MLB season, look for a plus .500 home favorite revenging 2 or more straight losses as home favorites to another .500 opponent. Since 2005, this system is 67-21 (+1.6 rpg, +31.9 units, +22.7% roi). If the line is between -110 and -180, you are talking +40.9% roi and a 82.8% (53-11) winning clip!
Other trends…
-The Chicago White Sox are 22-9
+13.89 units off of 2+ wins in 2012.
-Texas is 71-39 +22.56 units off of a loss since 2011.
-Texas is 120-74 +20.68 units vs. left handed starter since 2011.
The Plays
We like this as a strong Ranger play tonight to get revenge, avoid the sweep, and put up some runs. With the line dropping to 10, we also may lay a small play on the over, which is definitely against the public eye, since the Rangers haven’t been able to buy a run lately.
1 Unit ($14.70 to return $24.70) *Official PCG Play
0.5 Units ($5.50 to return $10.50)
Fun Betting Fact
The Colorado Rockies are 11-4-0 (+4.2 rpg, +6.5 Units, +36.3% roi) over the total this season at Coors (home field) after a game where the bullpen didn’t allow any runs. It get’s better. The Rockies are an amazing 10-0 (+6.2 rpg, +10 units, +81.6% roi) this season after two or more straight games where the bullpen didn’t allow any runs.
Vocabulary
“RPG” – Runs per game
“ROI” – Return on Investment – Given in Percentage
“RL” – Run Line – Winning by 2 runs or More – Getting a bigger return than just winning by 1 run or more.
“SU” – Straight Up Winner
“Total” – In an “Over/Under” or “Total” Bet – you pick whether or not the combined runs of BOTH teams are higher (Over) or lower (Under) than the line given.
“Unit” – Whatever given value one bets on average on a game. Used to show profit and loss a the end of a season. (See ROI)
“The Computer” – A powerful tool used to predict outcomes to sporting events. .
“Public” – The “general” consensus of the common folk who essentially dictate the price of the two teams once the odds are set. Note***The Pubic rarely wins.
***If you'd like to get the full stats, on EVERY team in the league – as well as the Best bets of the night via email, sign up now to the Procomputergambler.com website and email newsletter for just $17.95 a month for viewers of Mikedyce.com (28% off) using this link.
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