The Computer was right on with the leans on Texas and the Under, but we didn’t make any plays as they didn’t have much of an edge. Rangers had a poor start down 2-0 in the 4th, but the 3 run inning put them ahead, and they closed it out scoring a run in both the 7th and 8th. P Nathan got his 20th save without letting anyone get on base in the 5-3 win.
We mentioned Tim Lincecum’s horrendous streak this year for betters who backed him is now in double digit units.
Q: Who has been the worst pitcher this decade for betters?
A: A.J Burnett in 2010 for the Yankees. His team record was 13-21 and he lost his betters 18.8 units with an avg -154 moneyline.
Today’s Game is a 7:05 PM CST Start
Chicago White Sox 53-45 (W3) +128 @ Texas 58-39 (W1) -138 – Over/Under 8.5 Runs
CWS P Chris Sale (11-3 2.37 ERA) took his first loss last start since May 12 (11 starts previous), in which he has only allowed 13 runs over that span. Overall he’s been quite solid, but he’s also just 22 years old which means that despite being consistent until now, how will he look in the second half of the season. He has allowed 17 hits in 15 innings in his last 2 starts. He 5 hit Texas before the break 3 starts ago in the 19-2 drubbing in Chicago.
Tex P Yu Darvish (11-6, 3.88 ERA) came back to form last start @ LA holding the Angels to just 3 hits and 2 runs in 7 innings. He had given up a home run in the 3 previous starts before however, and is still a bit of an enigma at times. He has double digit K’s in 4 of his last 6 starts. (9.1 K avg in that time)
The Computer says Today is a Ranger day!
TEXAS 5.1 WHITE SOX 3.7
-The Texas Rangers are 21-3 (+2.4 rpg, +14.75 units +37.2% roi) off of a home loss now playing a revenge
matchup where they put up 3 or fewer runs.
-The White Sox are only 11-20 (-30.7% roi) since 2011 after a 2 or 3 games home series (series game 1 game). That's 4-12 (+41.4% roi fade) if the Sox only score one 1 or zero of those games in the last s
eries. The losing streak should continue today according to recent history.
-The Rangers are 15-2 (+2.7 rpg, +125.25 units, +46.3% roi) since 2011 as a home favorite when they lost the last time they faced this starting pitcher.
-The Ranger's Japenese Sensation, Yu Darvish is a solid 7-1 (+3.5 rpg, +30.1% roi) this season as a home favorite.
This is definitely a decent enough edge to want to play Texas, but we’re not convinced to put anything on the total. We think Yu will dominate the Sox in the revenge game, and there is a good chance that Sale will not pitch his best tonight.
1 Unit Texas -138 ($13.80 to return $23.80) * Official PCG play
Fun Betting Fact:
The Oakland A’s are 16-3 (+15.29 Units, +75.2% roi) since July 1st this season.
“RPG” – Runs per game
“ROI” – Return on Investment – Given in Percentage
“RL” – Run Line – Winning by 2 runs or More – Getting a bigger return than just winning by 1 run or more.
“SU” – Straight Up Winner
“Total” – In an “Over/Under” or “Total” Bet – you pick whether or not the combined runs of BOTH teams are higher (Over) or lower (Under) than the line given.
“Unit” – Whatever given value one bets on average on a game. Used to show profit and loss a the end of a season. (See ROI)
“The Computer” – A powerful tool used to predict outcomes to sporting events. .
“Public” – The “general” consensus of the common folk who essentially dictate the price of the two teams once the odds are set. Note***The Pubic rarely wins.
***If you'd like to get the full stats, on EVERY team in the league – as well as the Best bets of the night via email, sign up now to the Procomputergambler.com website and email newsletter for just $17.95 a month for viewers of Mikedyce.com (28% off) using this link.